Football Predictions for Premier League, La Liga and Serie A

Let’s kick off 2018 with our latest Football Predictions!

Premier League Week 22

On the contrary to Bing, we prefer to bet on Brighton vs. Bournemouth in a game that we expect to be close.

After 3 consecutive games without winning, we believe than Manchester United will continue to have a difficult time at Everton in a game too close to call.

Finally in the Arsenal – Chelsea derby we believe that the Gunners will make good use of their Home Advantage and we give them slightly favourable odds.

Premier League Week 22 AnalystMaster Bing
Home Away H D A H D A
Brighton Bournemouth 45% 28% 27% 22% 28% 50%
Burnley Liverpool 32% 25% 43% 29% 21% 50%
Leicester Huddersfield 52% 24% 24% 58% 28% 14%
Stoke Newcastle 40% 25% 35% 46% 36% 18%
Everton Man United 37% 25% 39% 12% 25% 63%
Southampton Crystal Palace 45% 28% 28% 58% 28% 14%
West Ham West Brom 39% 28% 33% 40% 27% 33%
Swansea Tottenham 21% 24% 54% 17% 16% 67%
Man City Watford 66% 18% 16% 89% 5% 6%
Arsenal Chelsea 42% 25% 33% 32% 25% 43%

La Liga Week 18

Despite benefiting from the Home Advantage, we believe that Valencia will be challenged by Girona, with a win % of 49%, much lower than Bing’s 81%.

We agree with Bing that the Leganes-Socidedad game is too close to call, with each side having equal winning probabilities.

La Liga Week 18 AnalystMaster Bing
Home Away H D A H D A
Ath Madrid Getafe 50% 29% 21% 58% 28% 14%
Valencia Girona 49% 24% 27% 81% 15% 4%
Las Palmas Eibar 43% 24% 34% 45% 23% 32%
Sevilla Betis 64% 21% 14% 89% 5% 6%
Leganes Real Sociedad 36% 27% 36% 25% 39% 36%
Barcelona Levante 72% 18% 10% 89% 5% 6%
Ath Bilbao Alaves 46% 30% 24% 58% 28% 14%
Vilarreal La Coruna 63% 21% 16% 89% 5% 6%
Celta Vigo Real Madrid 25% 23% 51% 12% 25% 63%
Malaga Espanyol 44% 25% 31% 64% 20% 16%

Serie A Week 20

We have some differences here with Bing, as we predict the games Chievo vs. Udinese and Fiorentina vs. Inter Milan too close too call

Genoa-Sassuolo is also expected to be a very close game, with the home side having slightly favourable odds.

As usual our odds are lower than Bing for the Napoli, AC Milan, Roma and Juventus games, although we both agree that a win from these top teams is the most likely outcome.

Serie A Week 20 AnalystMaster Bing
Home Away H D A H D A
Chievo Udinese 36% 25% 39% 56% 28% 16%
Fiorentina Inter 37% 26% 37% 8% 16% 76%
Torino Bologna 42% 26% 32% 56% 28% 16%
Benevento Sampdoria 29% 23% 48% 17% 16% 67%
Genoa Sassuolo 40% 25% 35% 25% 39% 36%
Spal Lazio 27% 23% 50% 17% 16% 67%
Napoli Verona 67% 19% 14% 89% 5% 6%
AC Milan Crotone 59% 23% 18% 89% 5% 6%
Roma Atalanta 52% 24% 24% 89% 5% 6%
Cagliari Juventus 24% 21% 56% 8% 16% 76%

Happy New Year 2018 everyone!!

AnalystMaster

Year End Football Predictions

 

Premier League Week 21

The notable difference with Bing Predicts is on the Watford-Swansea and Huddersfield-Burnley games that we predict too close to call, whereas Bing seems to see a pretty clear victory of the Home side for both games.

Bing Predictions for the last 3 games on Dec 31st are not available at this time.

Premier League Week 21 AnalystMaster Bing
Home Away H D A H D A
Chelsea Stoke 64% 20% 16% 81% 15% 4%
Bournemouth Everton 45% 26% 29% 55% 31% 14%
Liverpool Leicester 55% 24% 22% 45% 25% 30%
Watford Swansea 37% 26% 38% 52% 25% 23%
Huddersfield Burnley 37% 29% 34% 46% 36% 18%
Newcastle Brighton 39% 30% 30% 55% 31% 14%
Man United Southampton 64% 23% 13% 89% 5% 6%
Crystal Palace Man City 18% 21% 61% N/A N/A N/A
West Brom Arsenal 35% 26% 39% N/A N/A N/A
Tottenham West Ham 64% 21% 15% N/A N/A N/A

Serie A Week 19

Overall our predictions are similar to Bing, with the notable exception of the Bologna-Udinese game which we think will be very close whereas Bing foresees an easy Bologna victory. We also believe that the game between Inter and Lazio will be very challenging to predict as well, Inter only having a 43% victory odd vs. 55% for Bing.

As usual we believe the 89% that Bing predicts for Sampdoria, Atalanta and Roma wins is too high and our victory probability is in the 60s %

Serie A Week 19 AnalystMaster Bing
Home Away H D A H D A
Crotone Napoli 17% 22% 61% 17% 16% 67%
Fiorentina Milan 47% 23% 30% 55% 31% 14%
Bologna Udinese 36% 25% 40% 81% 15% 4%
Benevento Chievo 28% 25% 48% 12% 25% 63%
Sampdoria SPAL 63% 21% 16% 89% 5% 6%
Atalanta Cagliari 60% 23% 17% 89% 5% 6%
Roma Sassuolo 60% 22% 18% 89% 5% 6%
Torino Genoa 45% 27% 28% 42% 28% 30%
Inter Lazio 43% 22% 35% 55% 31% 14%
Verona Juventus 17% 20% 64% 17% 16% 67%

We hope you all enjoy these last 2017 games, we will come back strong in 2018 with more Football articles and predictions!

Happy New Year everyone!

AnalystMaster

Football Predictions: AnalystMaster vs. BingPredicts

Challenging Bing Predicts on Football Predictions

Bing Predicts prides itself at being great in forecasting the outcome of some events. A quick look at its wikipedia page shows that it predicted the winners from American Idol or The Voice with more than 80% accuracy, US elections with more than 90% accuracy and that they did a perfect 15 out of 15 predictions in the 2014 World Cup! Well done Bing Predicts!

At AnalystMaster we also have our Predicting algorithms. We decided to challenge Bing Predicts on the next European Football games by comparing our Predictions with theirs. Although our predictions match on most games, there are few significant differences including “El Clasico” between Real Madrid and Barcelona, Leicester vs. Manchester United or the next Bayern Munich and Juventus games.

See you next week for analysing the results!

AnalystMaster

Premier League Week 19

The first thing that strikes when looking at Bing Predicts forecasts is that it sometimes gives very important winning probabilities.

The Leicester vs. Man United game is a good example. Bing Predicts foresees an easy Man United victory (75%) whereas we think Jose Mouriho’s team will face a much tougher opposition from a team who just took Pep Guardiola’s Man City to penalty kicks in League Cup this week and will be benefiting from the Home Advantage.

Premier League Week 19 AnalystMaster Bing
Home Away H D A H D A
Arsenal Liverpool 48% 21% 31% 58% 28% 14%
Everton Chelsea 32% 24% 43% 17% 16% 67%
Stoke West Brom 33% 28% 39% 48%
Southampton Huddersfield 50% 25% 25% 42%
Swansea Crystal Palace 33% 30% 37% 34% 31% 35%
Man City Bournemouth 66% 19% 14% 89% 5% 6%
West Ham Newcastle 45% 27% 28% 55% 31% 14%
Brighton Watford 33% 26% 41% 29% 28% 43%
Burnley Tottenham 35% 28% 37% 8% 16% 76%
Leicester Man United 36% 26% 39% 6% 19% 75%

La Liga Week 17

Our algorithm disagrees with Bing Predicts regarding “El Clasico”. Bing Predicts bets on an clear victory from Real Madrid (56%), probably giving a lot of weight to the Home Advantage.

This could be surprising to who followed the two teams this year: Real Madrid has been struggling this year and is currently 4th of La Liga so far with 31 pts and losing to Tottenham in Champions League, whereas Barcelona has been outrageously dominating the championship with 42 pts and no defeat so far.

Our algorithm on the other side predicts that this game will be too close to call, giving Barcelona a narrow edge at 39% vs. 37% for a Read Madrid win.

La Liga Week 17 AnalystMaster Bing
Home Away H D A H D A
Levante Leganes 35% 28% 37%
Getafe Las Palmas 58% 24% 18% 81% 15% 4%
Real Sociedad Sevilla 50% 23% 27% 29% 28% 43%
Eibar Girona 38% 25% 37% 32% 35% 33%
Alaves Malaga 46% 26% 28% 33% 38% 29%
Betis Ath Bilbao 48% 23% 29% 34% 30% 36%
Espanyol Ath Madrid 28% 28% 45% 29% 28% 43%
Real Madrid Barcelona 37% 24% 39% 56% 28% 16%
Valencia Villarreal 62% 22% 17% 81%
La Coruna Celta Vigo 32% 24% 44% 29% 28% 43%

Serie A Week 18

Again in Serie A Bing Predicts gives very high probabilities to wins of Udinese (89%), Genoa (81%) or Napoli (89%) which seems quite bold for a game which is in the end quite random. Although we also believe these teams will win, we would not be ready to bet on victories with these odds.

We also predicts that Juventus and AC Milan will have a tougher opposition than Bing Predicts thinks with a winning probability of 42% and 45% vs. a bigger margin of 64% for Bing

Serie A Week 18 AnalystMaster Bing
Home Away H D A H D A
Chievo Bologna 41% 26% 33% 31% 36% 33%
Cagliari Fiorentina 34% 25% 41% 6% 19% 75%
Lazio Crotone 65% 20% 16% 89% 5% 6%
SPAL 2013 Torino 36% 25% 39% 25% 29% 46%
Genoa Benevento 54% 24% 23% 81% 15% 4%
Udinese Verona 46% 24% 30% 89% 5% 6%
Sassuolo Inter Milan 23% 27% 50% 17% 16% 67%
Napoli Sampdoria 59% 22% 19% 89% 5% 6%
AC Milan Atalanta 45% 27% 28% 64%
Juventus Roma 42% 24% 34% 64% 20% 16%

Ligue 1 Week 19

Here too Bing Predicts very high odds on some games, especially the 89% for Monaco vs. Rennes. Our algorithm also largely favours a Monaco win, but gives Rennes (who has been doing quite well in the last few games) more chances to draw or to even win that game.

We also think Amiens will exploit their Home Advantage to challenge Ranieri’s FC Nantes at home, and that Montpellier will bring a much tougher opposition to Bordeaux that Bing Predicts seems to believe.

Ligue 1 Week 19 AnalystMaster Bing
Home Away H D A H D A
Angers Dijon 42% 25% 33% 27% 33% 40%
Lille Nice 43% 28% 29% 56%
Toulouse Lyon 25% 24% 51% 21% 33% 46%
Amiens Nantes 48% 27% 25% 35% 23% 42%
Guingamp St Etienne 55% 27% 18% 42% 25% 33%
Marseille Troyes 61% 21% 18% 55% 31% 14%
Monaco Rennes 68% 18% 14% 89% 5% 6%
Paris SG Caen 75% 16% 9% 89% 5% 6%
Bordeaux Montpellier 39% 29% 32% 55% 31% 14%
Metz Strasbourg 30% 24% 46% 29% 21% 50%

Bundesliga Week 18

Our algorithm predicts a tough time for Bayern Munich at Leverkusen, with a game too close too call. This prediction sounds quite bold when we look at the rankings today: Bayern Munich is at the top of the Bundesliga with 42 pts and Leverkusen at a distance in 4th place with 28 pts. Betting on a Munich win or at least a draw would sound like the reasonable prediction, however we have chosen to leave the algorithm’s results as is as we think that the fact that it gives this game almost equal odds is interesting in itself.

Bing has yet to provide its predictions for Bundesliga matches at this time.

Bundesliga Week 18 AnalystMaster Bing
Home Away H D A H D A
Leverkusen Bayern Munich 39% 24% 37%
Werder Bremen Hoffenheim 39% 24% 37%
Frankfurt Freiburg 52% 22% 26%
Stuttgart Herta Berlin 42% 29% 28%
Augsburg Hamburg 53% 23% 24%
Hannover Mainz 58% 22% 20%
Leipzig Schalke 04 49% 23% 27%
Koln M’gladbach 39% 24% 37%
Dortmund Wolfsburg 56% 22% 23%